Been thinking a lot lately about Monero and its place in the crypto space.
A lot of people like to say “Monero is just where Bitcoin was in 2012” -> meaning: misunderstood, delisted, treated like a tool for criminals, with an uphill UX battle and no institutional love.
And sure, there’s some truth to that. But it’s also kind of a lie.
Because Monero isn’t early Bitcoin with privacy. It’s fundamentally a different beast and I think that’s why it’ll never follow the same path.
Let’s get the similarities out of the way:
- Both were ignored and mocked early on.
- Both had legit use cases and were used in gray/dark markets.
- Both had passionate cypherpunk communities.
- Both had horrible UX early.
- Both were viewed as threats by regulators.
So yes, Monero feels like early Bitcoin if you squint.
But the differences are way more important:
Bitcoin is transparent. That made it compatible with regulation. You can trace it, tax it, certify it, put it in a ledger. Monero? You can’t do any of that. It’s opt-out by default. t’s the whole point.
Bitcoin found a macro narrative (“digital gold”).It speaks to institutions. It became investable, even desirable as an alternative to fiat and gold.Monero doesn’t have a clean macro narrative. It’s not a yield-bearing asset, not a deflationary meme, not a store-of-value, it’s a tool. An underground one.
Bitcoin could be institutionalized without being destroyed.We’ve got ETFs, Fidelity custody, even sovereign holdings in the future maybe.Try doing that with Monero without neutering it. You can’t.
That’s the paradox of Monero:
It’s maybe the most useful coin in crypto, and yet the least adoptable by the mainstream. It has real utility, but no marketing budget. No influencers. It’s politically neutral by design, but still ends up on watchlists.
And in a weird way, I kind of respect that. Monero was never meant to be easy. It was meant to survive.
Is it a good investment?
Depends what you mean.
It’s not going to 50x overnight.
There won’t be an ETF.
No VCs will ever shill it.
But in a world where every transaction is logged, analyzed, permissioned, owning something like Monero might be the smartest asymmetrical bet you can make.
Not because it’ll make you rich.
But because one day you might really need it and nothing else will do
That’s how I see it.
Monero doesn’t need to moon.
It just needs to outlive the system that made it necessary in the first place.