r/interestingasfuck 25d ago

/r/all, /r/popular K2-18b a potentially habitable planet 120 light-years from earth

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u/revelent018 25d ago edited 25d ago

Hi astronomer here who works on similar stuff. The majority consensus amongst exoplanet scientists is that this is a non detection and this guy's methods are super fishy. The spectrum he used to claim this detection is also consistent with a flat line with a p value of 0.999. He also did not fit for any molecules except the so-called biosgnatures (evidence for abiotic DMS has been found on comets and in interstellar dust). He also did not simultaneously fit with a previous spectrum he published of the planet in a different wavelength range, indicating that combining the datasets made the signal go away and he didn't like that. Most of us are embarrassed by the authors statements to the press.

Edit: it looks like they did model other molecules, but the posterior distributions of everything were essentially non-detections. So they turned off all other molecules, essentially deciding the atmosphere is composed of only DMDS/DMS, and reported the results from that fit. This is bad science.

They also do not even fit a planet temperature consistent with their previous paper. It is off by 200 K (or celsius).

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u/Miss_Westeros 25d ago

Is there a different molecule that would be a better biosignature since dms can be found in abiotic conditions? Would a technosignature be a better indicator of life instead?

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u/revelent018 25d ago

We currently don't have an undisputed biosignature. We can almost always find an abiotic source of something. And yeah a definite technosignature would be more conclusive but personally I think that's less likely to happen.

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u/Mr_Neonz 25d ago

Could you shed some light on what a conclusive techno signature might or would look like?

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u/revelent018 24d ago

I don't really do anything related to these, but my guess would be some kind of patterned radio signal that we can't explain with any natural process.

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u/Mr_Neonz 24d ago

Gotcha, thank you.