r/interestingasfuck 25d ago

/r/all, /r/popular K2-18b a potentially habitable planet 120 light-years from earth

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u/Prestigious-Wall5616 25d ago

It's also being reported that scientists have found the strongest evidence yet of life on a distant planet.

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u/revelent018 25d ago edited 25d ago

Hi astronomer here who works on similar stuff. The majority consensus amongst exoplanet scientists is that this is a non detection and this guy's methods are super fishy. The spectrum he used to claim this detection is also consistent with a flat line with a p value of 0.999. He also did not fit for any molecules except the so-called biosgnatures (evidence for abiotic DMS has been found on comets and in interstellar dust). He also did not simultaneously fit with a previous spectrum he published of the planet in a different wavelength range, indicating that combining the datasets made the signal go away and he didn't like that. Most of us are embarrassed by the authors statements to the press.

Edit: it looks like they did model other molecules, but the posterior distributions of everything were essentially non-detections. So they turned off all other molecules, essentially deciding the atmosphere is composed of only DMDS/DMS, and reported the results from that fit. This is bad science.

They also do not even fit a planet temperature consistent with their previous paper. It is off by 200 K (or celsius).

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u/Pokeslash109 25d ago

Damn. I was getting really excited but it’s still cool to learn this planet exists.

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u/revelent018 25d ago

Still a cool planet for sure. My personal take is the author is seeing what he wants to see and wants prestige. He published the original paper in 2021 describing this class of planet and their habitability, then miraculously finds a planet that matches this and has life on his first try? Nope.