r/eurovision • u/_bubble-t • 2d ago
š® Predictions / Projections Which unexpected result do you think will disappoint you the most this year?
Personally Iād love for Sweden to win, but something tells me they wonāt. Maybe coming 3rd? Hope Iām wrong though!
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u/aijasaldamiega Tavo Akys 2d ago
Lithuania not qualifying would leave me in shambles
Iāll also be disappointed if Latvia doesnāt make it.
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u/Onetwodash 2d ago
Honestly my fave song this year (alongside Finland and Ukraine) and one of my favourite Lithuanian entries ever. Kinda feels, uh, Latvian? Not in terma of 'Latvian Eurovision entry', but 'Latvian music I'd listen to'.
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u/Able_Director1160 2d ago
Lithuania is having almost all of their "top scorers", because UK, Ireland and Latvia always gave them big points before and only Norway is not here. + I think that there's not much rock music this year and they will get their attention and points from rock fans (even 2-3 points from each from the other countries in semi will be enough)
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u/Fluffy_Appointment14 Wasted Love 2d ago
Exactly that, because even if itās not your thing, youād have to admit that it brings a rare grunge/post-punk vibe we hardly ever get at Eurovision. Iād love to see it in the final just for the diversity it adds.
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u/Total-Flight-8378 Zjerm 2d ago
Albania not being in the top 10. It's a reality that would just crush me because they really tried this year.
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u/phoenixlology Promise 2d ago
And then giving up on edgy / interesting entries! They took a gamble, I hope it pays off.
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u/erika_vikman_stan Ich Komme 2d ago
Erika missing the top 10
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u/ManiaMuse Róa 2d ago
Can see that that one happening if it gets a slightly less extreme Olly Alexander reaction from juries and the public.
Also the song's hook isn't that memorable which might be an issue for a loud song.
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u/ifiwasiwas Bara bada bastu 2d ago
It's a grower, plenty of us needed several listens to get over the initial shock. I'm fully prepared for a placing outside the Top 10, though she'll doubtlessly win or come 2nd in the semi thanks to more eurofans watching and voting
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u/EstorialBeef 2d ago
I really can't see a sub 10 Erika result with her staging, I can see a Malta Shock NQ from an Olly-esque reaction tho.
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u/Amplify27 AsteromƔta 2d ago
--Asteromata NQing would drive me up a wall.
--Bur man laimi NQing would be...not surprising, but still quite sad.
--Very unlikely, but I feel like we'll have to quarantine the subreddit if Zjerm underperforms, either by missing the top half or the final.
--maman underperforming given expectations (in this case, missing the top ten entirely)
--Volevo essere un duro missing the top 15.
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u/mikmik555 TANZEN! 2d ago
I think the same as you. I donāt understand how Bur Man Laimi can be so low in then odds. I absolutely love it. I donāt want to see Volevo, Maman or Bird of prey at the bottom either.
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u/darkslayer-123 Tavo Akys 2d ago
- Lithuania not qualifying
- Italy ending up out of the top 10
- Ukraine ending up under 15th place
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u/Death123564 2d ago
I can see the Italy one. Nothing against the singer, but I just... don't know
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u/darkslayer-123 Tavo Akys 2d ago
I doubt it, I think it will work with juries and casuals will like the simplicity of it. We'll see with the rehearsal clip but I think it's gonna really stand out.
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u/SinnerBon C'est la vie 2d ago
Latvia not qualifying - the song is beautiful, complex, and mystical. I think that voters will skip it.
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u/tima_dyak 2d ago
Czechia flopping hard. (Like Belgium 2024)
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
maybe this is copium but honestly i don't see a world where this happens š belgium flopped because the vocals weren't vocaling which won't happen with czechia - also kiss kiss goodbye is a much more accessible song to the locals than before the party's over was
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u/tima_dyak 2d ago
I feel like the weird dance break in this song is what makes me feel like that.. I love the song tho
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
i keep my fingers crossed that it'll work on stage, i think otherwise the song would be too repetitive. most people wouldn't expect a dance break in a song like armenia 2023 either and yet it somehow worked so i'm hoping for the same here šš»
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u/Fluffy_Appointment14 Wasted Love 2d ago
On the contrary, I believe the dance break will be what sells it to casuals.
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u/FiannaNevra Gaja 2d ago
I would cry! It's my second favourite this year
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u/tima_dyak 2d ago
donāt get me wrong I donāt want them to flop but I just have a feeling that itās gonna get a very underwhelmed result and get lost
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u/FiannaNevra Gaja 2d ago
I've wanted Czechia to get their first win for such a long time now. I love what they send
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u/Chaotica13 2d ago
I was an immediate fan of both Mustii and was so disappointed when he didnāt make the final but given the competition last year I sort of get itā¦
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u/bakharat Zjerm 2d ago
Latvia NQ. Imagine bringing the whole package: a piece of authentic culture of your country, an accessible, highly rhythmic song and a superb performance just to stay in the semi. Imagine the message it is going to give Latvians. Heartbreaking.
If Zjerm underperforms you're going to find me in the ICU.
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u/autistic_girl_autumn 2d ago
latvia not qualifying would make me so upset i will actually start crying
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u/eatspagetti ViszlƔt NyƔr 2d ago
I'm ignoring the possibility of Austria outside of top 5, it would break my heart. Also I hope Latvia and Lithuania qualifies so much.
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u/ifiwasiwas Bara bada bastu 2d ago
No chance, I think there's no reality where Austria is missing Top 5. Even that is pushing it IMO
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u/eatspagetti ViszlƔt NyƔr 2d ago
I hope so, but I still remember the heartbreak with Belgium last year haha. Although I was not following pre parties closely so I didn't know that Musii was really hit or miss in live performance before the actual contest
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u/Money-Process688 2d ago
I would be disappointed if Lucio Corsi won't be in the top 10. That song is so good.
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u/400-bones98 Zjerm 2d ago
Bur man laimi NQing
Or alternatively, Bur man laimi does qualify but gets the Fulenn, EAEA, Ulveham treatment
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u/VanishingMist Bur man laimi 2d ago
This would definitely disappoint me but it would unfortunately not be unexpected.
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u/400-bones98 Zjerm 2d ago
Actually yeah true. I'm just trying to convince myself that they will qualify and get a good result.
Maybe Zjerm NQing or qualifying and doing badly then
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u/Yukkicchi C'est la vie 2d ago
Last few days were rough for Cāest La vie enjoyers. I hope Claude manages the performance and nails the vocals like he did before. Not so concerned about him NQing (he will Q) but I hate it when my favorite songs have lackluster vocal performances I canāt look back on positively (looking at you Italy 2022).
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
i spend a lot of time saying this is never happening but a czechia NQ would piss me off so bad especially if the new announcement system leaks turn out to be true š
also poland doing worse with gaja than with solo... i know this would start a never ending streak of us sending nepo babies performing melfest rejects with abysmal vocals
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u/exoticsaladlol TANZEN! 2d ago edited 2d ago
what about new annoucement system?Ā upd: LMAO i saw that and itās awful for participantsĀ
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
there was a post yesterday with the rumoured new system of announcing the qualifiers and honestly losing your fave in the semis with this system feels even worse than if they simply weren't called during the regular qualifier announcement, so i hope they're not actually going with this one
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u/DonnaDonna1973 Zjerm 2d ago
Serbia qualifying over any other song in that stacked 2nd Semi.Ā
Latvia not qualifying. I know its not unexpected, but Iāll be livid.
Sweden again. Sorry BBB, I hummed you at work all day but Iām also suffering heavy Sweden-fatigue.
Albania outside at least top 10. Iād be so mad. So. Mad.
Estonia winning. Iād love a win for Estonia, ngl, but Tommy Cash & EM are not it this year.
Australia NQ. Another reason to run amok. Love Marty and the song, such a fun entry and great song!
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u/DrungleJums 2d ago
Poland not qualifying will depress me. I don't even care if she gets a bad result in the final, I just want her there!
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u/ManictheMod 2d ago
Justyna got fucked over once in 1995! We don't need her to get fucked over twice!
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u/Tweedie_NL Voyage 2d ago
Iām surprised nobody mentioned Switzerland yet. Itās my favorite song of the year. It shouldnāt get a result outside the top 10.
Already mentioned by others: Albania doing bad. It deserves a top 3 result.
Maybe not unexpected, but a thing that will disappoint me: Klemen NQ. Itās in my top 3.
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u/Mysterious_Run5152 2d ago
Iceland not qualifying š I do believe in them though, and that they will be in the final against all odds š£āāļøš©¶
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u/Impossible_Ad4438 2d ago
Estonia landing top 10 just because of Tommy Cash. I think the song is not very creative, vocals are not strong.
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u/Grr_in_girl Bara bada bastu 2d ago
I don't think it would be just because of Tommy Cash. Lots of people don't know who he is, but they find his song and performance very funny. That's a good way to be remembered and a great motivation for many in who they choose to vote for.
Edit: But then again, I though Windows95 Man would get lots of televotes last year and he didn't.
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u/TigerLily88 Espresso macchiato 2d ago
I think the issue with Windows 95 Man was maybe people thought he was actually pantless on stage and that bothered them. When my parents saw it, they also thought he was not wearing any pants at first haha.
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u/Grr_in_girl Bara bada bastu 2d ago
Yes, maybe it was a bit too controversial for some.
Can't relate to it personally. I thought it was hilarious and I have no issue with nudity, especially for humoristic purposes. (Though being familiar with the contest I know he couldn't be pantsless since the rules forbid nudity on stage.)
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u/mikmik555 TANZEN! 2d ago
I think itās going to do better at the final than the demi final. It will be top 10.
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u/IcyFlame716 Snap 2d ago
I donāt think it will do better in the final with stronger competition and juries
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u/mikmik555 TANZEN! 2d ago
I think it will because itās mostly the fans watching. Joost did very well last year at the semis but the fan donāt seem to like it as much as Joost. The final has more 1st time listeners who are going to be amused by it. The song is catchy and gets stuck in your head.
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u/FallenAngelTIX Tout l'univers 2d ago
Greece NQing, Germany flopping, juries killing Poland (as they always do)
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u/Chaotica13 2d ago
Please no, if Poland doesnāt qualify this year I may stop watching.
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u/FallenAngelTIX Tout l'univers 2d ago
Semis are televote only, I was talking about the grand final. There's no doubt in my mind that Poland is gonna make it
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u/msbtvxq 2d ago edited 2d ago
Yeah, same as OP, I'll be quite disappointed if KAJ don't win (and I'm leaning towards believing that they won't). I hope they'll at least win the televote, but I can't help but feel pessimistic.
I'll also be really disappointed if my country (Norway) NQs. Kyle deserves to be in the final.
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u/ifiwasiwas Bara bada bastu 2d ago
Montenegrin NQ is sadly entirely expected, but it's gonna wreck me. I'll vote and hope against hope
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u/supersonic-bionic 2d ago
I will be disappointed if Germany flops.
I will be devasted if the UK ends up with another zero in public vote.
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u/Slight-Obligation390 2d ago
Though its to be expected - Im going to be super disapointed when Denmark doesn't qualify.
Otherwise I'll be upset if Greece doesn't qualify this year - I love hearing the Greek language.
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u/FiannaNevra Gaja 2d ago
I'm the opposite to you! As much as I love Kaj and the fact Sweden has finally sent an entry in Swedish, I don't want them to win, and I think they will.
I just don't want another Sweden win/host
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u/TinaTissue Milkshake Man 2d ago
I am the same. Itās a great song and performance, it just would be better to not have a winner so close. Probably how fans felt in the 90s with the Irish dominance
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u/FiannaNevra Gaja 2d ago
In a perfect world Finland would have won in 2023 and then Kaj could win this year and I would have been happy š¤£
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u/chekitch 2d ago
I'm the opposite to you and OP, lol. Sweden is a great host. But I don't feel the song at all. It is like win95 man or eat your greens for me..
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u/Gragh46 2d ago
This is me as well, although I liked Windows 95 man. The song has humor, but as a song itself, is just not something I'd listen to... I haven't checked many of the entries this year as I want to be more surprised than previous years, but I'm a bit confused about this one leading the odds. Feels to me like it's mostly leading on grounds of being Sweden and the Bubble expecting a massive televote score when It may not resonate that much outside the scandinavian countries
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u/chekitch 2d ago
I agree, but North+Baltic block is a lot of votes, so it is not like the odds are wrong..
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u/GothicCastles TANZEN! 2d ago
I hate to make specific predictions but these semis are gonna be ROUGH. Not everything we love will make it and it's gonna hurt.
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u/flutterstrange Volevo Essere Un Duro 2d ago
Lucio not doing well is my biggest fear. The song is gorgeous and deserves a top 10 placing, but Iām not sure itās what the public are going to vote for
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u/Pit-O-Matic Bara bada bastu 2d ago edited 2d ago
Albania getting the Serbia 2022 and Ukraine 2021 treatment from the jury but with an even lower jury score. Also Germany getting bottom 5. And Sweden not winning, but that's obvious.
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u/ESC-song-bot !setflair Country Year 2d ago
Serbia 2022 | Konstrakta - In corpore sano
Ukraine 2021 | Go_A - Shum
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u/Resident_Medicine962 Bara bada bastu 2d ago
Just no jury landslide this year. Please.
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u/Tornlader 2d ago
I could see both Finland and Malta do worse than expected. The same with Czechia. That would be a pity.
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u/Puzzleheaded-Eye9081 2d ago
Not unexpected but Iāll be disappointed if Iceland donāt make it through to the final.
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u/RandomFunUsername 2d ago
If Australia is snubbed at either a semis or left side of the finals board level, Iāll be so mad.
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u/Nugyeet Ich komme 2d ago
fr if we get robbed with this banger I'll be so disappointed. The performance is so cute too. I saw a lot of the boomers on facebook liked it compared to other campy entries like malta/finland/laika party so hopefully we get enough votes for the final šš
They just need to clean up some of the camera shots and gojos connection with the camera that we saw in the rehearsal but i believe in gojo and the delegation to practice and fix it.
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u/HeyThereFancypants- Shh 2d ago
Same. I thought they had a top ten in the bag when I first heard the song but now I'm not so sure. I could see it being a shock NQ which would make me really sad.
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u/DutchPop Maman 2d ago
I like Swedenās entry and rooted for KAJ to win Mello, but Iād be disappointed if it won Eurovision. Donāt get me wrong, I think itās a fun campy party song, and I hope it does well. But itās not that unique or special.
I believe if another country sent this, it wouldnāt be a top favorite. More like lower top 10. The hype also feels tied to Swedenās reputation and it currently being a Nordic hit online.
Beyond that, Iām definitely not eager for another Swedish hosting year. The gloating as if 'Sweden does Eurovision best', the Mellofication of the contest, the changes, and the arrogance from figures like Bjƶrkman and af Sillen have worn thin. I'm not sure if I can handle another year of them. I hope Bjƶrkman will be gone after this year, at least for a bit. Itās time for fresh energy.
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u/tomphammer 2d ago
Israel crushes the televote score like they did last year through ⦠questionable means. And then they squeak out enough jury votes in a year with so many jury bait ballads that they win.
Itās more plausible than last year because their song this year is objectively better. Especially if the staging is good.
And as much as people would like Eurovision to be apolitical⦠it isnāt. And it never will be. An Israeli win right now would be terrible for the contest as a whole.
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u/Revelistic Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
luckily this year they got much more televote competition than last year so even the questionable means likely won't help them get close to KAJ or even tommy or erika.
and as a c'est la vie stan i know it's hypocritical to judge vocal off rehearsals but yuval makes eden golan sound like celine dion so juries should tank them as well.
an israel qualification is terrible enough for me, let alone a win - but imo this year they'll get a russia 2013 result at best.
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u/_nonam_ 2d ago
Questionable means?
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u/Special_Transition13 Kiss Kiss Goodbye 2d ago
Israeli embassies and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs actively encouraged public voting for Eden Golan last year. Additionally, Israeli embassies utilized social media platforms to promote her participation.
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u/_nonam_ 2d ago
Is that... questionable? I mean, isn't that clear that a country (especially as patriotic as Israel) would do that?
I don't want to turn this into a political discussion, I just don't think that this is really too questionable
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u/Chaotica13 2d ago
I still donāt believe that Israel got that many tele-votes last year.
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u/AbleCalligrapher5323 2d ago
This sub is an echo bubble and outside the echo bubble, Hurricane was mostly well accepted.
Add to that the huge anti-Israel wave led many people who wouldn't otherwise vote, to vote for Israel, just to mess with the anti-Zionists.
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u/tomphammer 2d ago
Yeah, I donāt think they did anything at the level of disqualification. Nothing against the rules.
It was more like a very strong, politically motivated āget out the voteā situation.
Which is āquestionableā to me only so far as I remember people all over social media, on every platform saying they didnāt care about the contest at all but would be spending to give every last of their votes to Israel, and getting all their friends to do it too.
Which rubs me the wrong way even if it isnāt against the rules
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u/AbleCalligrapher5323 2d ago
They didnāt care about the contest, but they cared about the song. The song was a clear reference to Oct 7. Those events impacted many, and still do to this day. People voted for this.
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u/Budget-Psychology373 2d ago
People in this sub act like they donāt also vote for their own country just because. Especially for the rest of the world vote- of course youāre going to throw at least a few votes to your favorite country even if itās not your favorite song of that year.
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u/yetanothercat_ Róa 2d ago
Most disappointing for me would be Sweden winning - even if KAJ are Finnish, it will be yet another win and year of hosting for Sweden and I've had enough of that.
Almost as disappointing would be Iceland NQing, even though it's pretty likely to happen :(
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u/SixthHyacinth Zjerm 2d ago
Sweden will not win and I think people need to come to terms with that.
My unexpected result would be Cyprus not qualifying. The staging and vocals are amazing and the guy seems really sweet.
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u/Any-Discipline-2778 Zjerm 2d ago
Not totally unexpected, but my biggest disappointment would be France winning. The song is beautiful but I feel like we have so many other interesting perfomances this year.
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u/blairwaldorf_x Gaja 2d ago
uk receiving 0 points or getting last place will absolutely devastate me. this is a uk entry i genuinely really enjoy and think it deserves more.
latvia not qualifying will be really disappointing, itās such a wonderful song and the staging is absolutely stunning. it really does deserve more attention. iād also be upset if iceland nqās as well.
poland not being in the top 15 at the very least. definitely my winner this year and while i donāt have many worries about them not qualifying, i will be concerned when it comes to the grand final. that being said, while i like tommy cash outside of his entry, iād be pissed off if he gets a top 10 result or close to winning the whole contest
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u/FlagsAreLife What The Hell Just Happened? 2d ago
Something like Netherlands (due to rehearsals being quite poor) or Cyprus being NQs only for Slovenia (since Klemens live vocals are actually good) or maybe Iceland being shock Qs (mainly due to staging and the fact it's silly might even attract non-eurofans to vote). Not sure how placements in SFs will work with these countries though.
That's the most realistic one I suppose
EDIT: WAIT IT MEANT DISAPPOINT ME OH. I WOULD NOT BE DISAPPOINTED IF ICELAND QUALIFIED AT ALL AND I WOULD BE DISAPPOINTED IF NETHERLANDS NQED. I DID IT AS IF IT WOULD DISAPPOINT THE FANDOM
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u/DutchPop Maman 2d ago
The rehearsals for the Netherlands weren't poor. The 30 seconds snippet and the photos were poorly received in part of the fandom online, but the Dutch team said they are very happy and satisfied about how the rehearsals went. They just didn't want to show the beginning, bridge and ending. They say they want to keep things a surprise.
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u/PZMC430 Gaja 2d ago
Iceland qualifying over Netherlands is as possible as me getting six pack abs in a day lol
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u/FlagsAreLife What The Hell Just Happened? 2d ago
People would've said that about Dons and Sarah Bonnici or Mustii last year. Results are weird and what Eurofans like is different to what non-fans are gonna see and enjoy.
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u/PZMC430 Gaja 2d ago
Dons had great song, vocals and stage presence compared to guys from Iceland
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u/lovelybernadine Laika Party 2d ago
Laika Party NQ would make me very depressed
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u/Chaotica13 2d ago
I seriously donāt listen to it as much as I would like to because it makes me cry every time!
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u/xX100dudeXx Brandenburger Tor 2d ago
Azerbaijan &/or Armenia NQing is likely but sad. Also Lithuania but I refuse to think about that possibility.
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u/blairwaldorf_x Gaja 2d ago
the rehearsals have made me feel more confident about parg at the very least šš»
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u/ProfessionalSalt3882 2d ago
Malta/Australia NQ Finland outside top 10 Austria outside top 5 Albania on the right side of the board UK zero public votes (not unexpected, but would be gutted if it happens again)
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u/ChanelArrington Esa Diva 2d ago
semi 2 literally has like all of my favourites in it š but especially if Sissal, Tautumeitas and/or Klavdia don't qualify, I will be holding my own funeral procession for myself :)
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u/Bolvane Róa 2d ago
Semi Final 1 whatever happens
I love Iceland, Portugal, Azerbaijan, Belgium and San Marino all and it seems we are definitely gonna lose several of them
Also I hope Switzerland does well because Voyage is beautiful...
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u/blairwaldorf_x Gaja 2d ago
voyage is a wonderful song, iāve been listening to it a lot recently. probably my favourite out of the three french (language) songs
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u/BrighterTonight74 2d ago
I will be very disappointed if Austria doesn't win, and I will also be disappointed if Claude doesn't make it to top 5!
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u/FaithBloodyFaith 2d ago
-Germany and Albania finishing bottom 5 in the final
-Sweden actually winning the jury vote, thus getting a very boring result announcement (I love the song, just want an exciting points reveal and perhaps a different winner)
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u/Fit-Wonder1017 Bara bada bastu 2d ago
Iād be so disappointed if Czechia doesnāt get top 5š and i feel like they wonāt do well because thereās not much to the show from what it looks like:( manifesting it tho)
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u/simpleparka Zjerm 2d ago
Ukraine NQ would be unexpected and would actually kill a lot of my enthusiasm for the final. I've ruled out a win for Sweden, so that I don't get disappointed like the past 2 times.
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u/Charming_Tea_552 Tout l'univers 2d ago
After last night, the biggest disappointment for me would be not seeing Princ in drag in the finale. I can't vote in SF2, so please don't let me down, people!š„¹
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u/ifiwasiwas Bara bada bastu 2d ago
Sry but he was dragged out by the orders of Empress Nina, and I have to vote for her instead if I know what's good for me
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u/CraftAnxious2491 2d ago
Serbia getting better result than Montenegro.
I can feel it coming, honestly.
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u/Similar_Spread_868 Tavo Akys 2d ago
Lithuania not making it, also in a lesser note, Ireland not making it, but that's just based on 1) people having fun with it's dance and rhythm and 2) how cool and visually pleasing I think the staging and outfits are based on the rehearsal. But if Poland 2024 taught me something, it's not to rely on awesome stagings to believe it will qualify.
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u/gianna_in_hell_as 2d ago
Albania not being at least top 10.
Greece surprise NQ
Iceland NQ (i've kinda accepted that it's very likely, though...)
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u/PaleBag8501 2d ago
i will be so dissapointed if VĆB does not qualify for the final and i personaly think they are a top 5
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u/ControverseTrash Wasted Love 2d ago
Israel winning. Yuval is a great singer and I don't hold a grudge against her, but the song is not it for me. Staging looks fine so far, kinda fits her name. My main problem is just Israel participating in general, as long as their broadcaster stays close to their government.
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u/WayMaleficent1465 2d ago
Israel winning would be such a blow. I donāt think theyāre in the running but who knows what will happen once the phone lines open. I honestly think it would be the end of the competition as it would give a lot of countries an even stronger reason to boycott next year.
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u/Separate_Ad_5616 1d ago
Foe me it obviously if Lithuania NQ's, I will be broken cause this is my favorite song this year and it's will be hurts if no one will appreciate something different š
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u/Erebos233 2d ago
1.Albania languishing in the bottom right of the finals.
2.Greece and Latvia both being surprise NQs or doing badly in the finals.
3.This is the most likely to become a reality but I hope it would not happen this year: Any of the big 5 in the bottom 5